Recent forecast guidance from European and global models points to a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy sustaining mild spring conditions in Milan, with daytime maxima expected between 20°C and 22°C on May 18. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 20–21°C, as reduced insolation or light northeasterly flow could cap temperatures at the lower end while clearer skies would allow modest radiative warming. Climatological averages for mid-May near 22°C provide context, yet current ensemble spread remains wide enough to keep probabilities for adjacent outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on May 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 18?
21°C 31%
20°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 15%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
15%
20°C
27%
21°C
31%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 31%
20°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 15%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
16°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
17°C
$128 Vol.
1%
18°C
$56 Vol.
6%
19°C
$32 Vol.
15%
20°C
$40 Vol.
27%
21°C
$69 Vol.
31%
22°C
$48 Vol.
17%
23°C
$75 Vol.
4%
24°C
$25 Vol.
3%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models points to a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy sustaining mild spring conditions in Milan, with daytime maxima expected between 20°C and 22°C on May 18. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 20–21°C, as reduced insolation or light northeasterly flow could cap temperatures at the lower end while clearer skies would allow modest radiative warming. Climatological averages for mid-May near 22°C provide context, yet current ensemble spread remains wide enough to keep probabilities for adjacent outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$617Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models points to a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy sustaining mild spring conditions in Milan, with daytime maxima expected between 20°C and 22°C on May 18. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 20–21°C, as reduced insolation or light northeasterly flow could cap temperatures at the lower end while clearer skies would allow modest radiative warming. Climatological averages for mid-May near 22°C provide context, yet current ensemble spread remains wide enough to keep probabilities for adjacent outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$617Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent forecast guidance from European and global models points to a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy sustaining mild spring conditions in Milan, with daytime maxima expected between 20°C and 22°C on May 18. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 20–21°C, as reduced insolation or light northeasterly flow could cap temperatures at the lower end while clearer skies would allow modest radiative warming. Climatological averages for mid-May near 22°C provide context, yet current ensemble spread remains wide enough to keep probabilities for adjacent outcomes nearly even. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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