India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 15 under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the official short-range model guidance updated this morning. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C at Lucknow Airport—2.5°C below normal—further supports subdued heating amid recent regional patterns of above-normal May rainfall cooling the pre-monsoon atmosphere. Historical mid-May averages hover around 40°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate limited intensification potential. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation or model divergence in afternoon updates, though IMD's high-resolution nowcasts carry strong reliability for daily maxima within urban heat islands like Lucknow. Official airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,961 Vol.
$37,961 Vol.
May 15, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,961 Vol.
$37,961 Vol.
May 15, 2026
41°C or below
$6,158 Vol.
100%
42°C
$8,365 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$6,236 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$3,611 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,386 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$3,172 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$2,641 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$654 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 15 under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the official short-range model guidance updated this morning. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C at Lucknow Airport—2.5°C below normal—further supports subdued heating amid recent regional patterns of above-normal May rainfall cooling the pre-monsoon atmosphere. Historical mid-May averages hover around 40°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate limited intensification potential. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation or model divergence in afternoon updates, though IMD's high-resolution nowcasts carry strong reliability for daily maxima within urban heat islands like Lucknow. Official airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$37,961Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 15 under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the official short-range model guidance updated this morning. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C at Lucknow Airport—2.5°C below normal—further supports subdued heating amid recent regional patterns of above-normal May rainfall cooling the pre-monsoon atmosphere. Historical mid-May averages hover around 40°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate limited intensification potential. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation or model divergence in afternoon updates, though IMD's high-resolution nowcasts carry strong reliability for daily maxima within urban heat islands like Lucknow. Official airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,961Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 15 under mainly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the official short-range model guidance updated this morning. Yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C at Lucknow Airport—2.5°C below normal—further supports subdued heating amid recent regional patterns of above-normal May rainfall cooling the pre-monsoon atmosphere. Historical mid-May averages hover around 40°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate limited intensification potential. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation or model divergence in afternoon updates, though IMD's high-resolution nowcasts carry strong reliability for daily maxima within urban heat islands like Lucknow. Official airport measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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