Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
37°C or higher 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 25%
34°C 3.6%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
25%
36°C
34%
37°C or higher
39%
37°C or higher 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 25%
34°C 3.6%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$424 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$60 Vol.
1%
30°C
$110 Vol.
1%
31°C
$110 Vol.
1%
32°C
$15 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$5 Vol.
34%
37°C or higher
$4 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$844Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$844Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCMarket-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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