Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 Vol.
$30,017 Vol.
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 Vol.
$30,017 Vol.
May 15, 2026
30°C or below
$1,305 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,611 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,181 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,709 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,185 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,072 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,047 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,300 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,433 Vol.
No
39°C
$4,174 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$2,998 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$30,017Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,017Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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