Recent forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG and international ensembles highlight elevated cloud cover and light convective rain chances for Jakarta on May 17, which are expected to limit afternoon solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 32°C. This outcome aligns with the city’s equatorial climatology during the dry-season transition, when typical highs reach 31–33°C amid moderate humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet persistent morning convection often caps peaks below seasonal norms. Traders have accordingly priced 32°C at roughly 78 percent implied probability, reflecting the latest model consensus on steering patterns that favor suppressed insolation over the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 87%
33°C 8%
31°C 4.4%
34°C 4.0%
BARU
$22,320 Vol.
BARU
$22,320 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
80%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 87%
33°C 8%
31°C 4.4%
34°C 4.0%
BARU
$22,320 Vol.
BARU
$22,320 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$1,412 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,730 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,388 Vol.
2%
31°C
$3,986 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,758 Vol.
80%
33°C
$2,061 Vol.
8%
34°C
$2,106 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,290 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,707 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG and international ensembles highlight elevated cloud cover and light convective rain chances for Jakarta on May 17, which are expected to limit afternoon solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 32°C. This outcome aligns with the city’s equatorial climatology during the dry-season transition, when typical highs reach 31–33°C amid moderate humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet persistent morning convection often caps peaks below seasonal norms. Traders have accordingly priced 32°C at roughly 78 percent implied probability, reflecting the latest model consensus on steering patterns that favor suppressed insolation over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22,320Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG and international ensembles highlight elevated cloud cover and light convective rain chances for Jakarta on May 17, which are expected to limit afternoon solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 32°C. This outcome aligns with the city’s equatorial climatology during the dry-season transition, when typical highs reach 31–33°C amid moderate humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet persistent morning convection often caps peaks below seasonal norms. Traders have accordingly priced 32°C at roughly 78 percent implied probability, reflecting the latest model consensus on steering patterns that favor suppressed insolation over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,320Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG and international ensembles highlight elevated cloud cover and light convective rain chances for Jakarta on May 17, which are expected to limit afternoon solar heating and keep the daily maximum near 32°C. This outcome aligns with the city’s equatorial climatology during the dry-season transition, when typical highs reach 31–33°C amid moderate humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet persistent morning convection often caps peaks below seasonal norms. Traders have accordingly priced 32°C at roughly 78 percent implied probability, reflecting the latest model consensus on steering patterns that favor suppressed insolation over the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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