Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, positioning New York City for a daytime high near 87–89°F on May 17. This stems from southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, combined with ample May sunshine and low-level moisture that limits overnight cooling. The tightly clustered market odds around 86–89°F reflect model consensus on peak temperatures while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 2–3°F from subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary timing. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 72°F, making this setup a clear positive anomaly driven by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 23%
90-91°F 8.7%
BARU
$10,831 Vol.
BARU
$10,831 Vol.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 23%
90-91°F 8.7%
BARU
$10,831 Vol.
BARU
$10,831 Vol.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$2,951 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,759 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,395 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$646 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$774 Vol.
35%
88-89°F
$499 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$343 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$234 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$459 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$440 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, positioning New York City for a daytime high near 87–89°F on May 17. This stems from southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, combined with ample May sunshine and low-level moisture that limits overnight cooling. The tightly clustered market odds around 86–89°F reflect model consensus on peak temperatures while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 2–3°F from subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary timing. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 72°F, making this setup a clear positive anomaly driven by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,831Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, positioning New York City for a daytime high near 87–89°F on May 17. This stems from southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, combined with ample May sunshine and low-level moisture that limits overnight cooling. The tightly clustered market odds around 86–89°F reflect model consensus on peak temperatures while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 2–3°F from subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary timing. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 72°F, making this setup a clear positive anomaly driven by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,831Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, positioning New York City for a daytime high near 87–89°F on May 17. This stems from southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, combined with ample May sunshine and low-level moisture that limits overnight cooling. The tightly clustered market odds around 86–89°F reflect model consensus on peak temperatures while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 2–3°F from subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary timing. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 72°F, making this setup a clear positive anomaly driven by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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