Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Vol.
$856,816 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
75%
65-89
22%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Vol.
$856,816 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$343,264 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$77,505 Vol.
75%
65-89
$81,335 Vol.
22%
90-114
$100,381 Vol.
1%
115-139
$69,014 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$856,816Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$856,816Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan