Traders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output settling near his recent baseline of 180–220 posts, with the top two brackets trading neck-and-neck at 16.5 % and 15.5 %. That tight spread reflects consistent daily activity levels around 25–30 tweets, driven by his ongoing commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and platform updates rather than any single headline event. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies on the immediate horizon, volume is expected to track the same steady cadence seen in prior May markets. Differentiating factors include possible spikes from Starship test coverage or policy news, offset by quieter periods when Musk focuses on internal company matters. The market therefore prices in routine engagement over dramatic swings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$212,450 Vol.
$212,450 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$212,450 Vol.
$212,450 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders see Elon Musk’s weekly X output settling near his recent baseline of 180–220 posts, with the top two brackets trading neck-and-neck at 16.5 % and 15.5 %. That tight spread reflects consistent daily activity levels around 25–30 tweets, driven by his ongoing commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and platform updates rather than any single headline event. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or viral controversies on the immediate horizon, volume is expected to track the same steady cadence seen in prior May markets. Differentiating factors include possible spikes from Starship test coverage or policy news, offset by quieter periods when Musk focuses on internal company matters. The market therefore prices in routine engagement over dramatic swings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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