Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on July 8, 2026, slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. This positioning reflects mild northerly flow and partial clearing ahead of a modest cold front, allowing daytime warming despite winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. The near-even split between the 18°C (31%) and 17°C (28.5%) outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any late-day wind shift—variables that routinely produce 1–2°C spreads in short-range ensembles. Updated model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution thresholds before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 8?
18°C 40%
17°C 29%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
40%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
17°C 29%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
40%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on July 8, 2026, slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. This positioning reflects mild northerly flow and partial clearing ahead of a modest cold front, allowing daytime warming despite winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. The near-even split between the 18°C (31%) and 17°C (28.5%) outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any late-day wind shift—variables that routinely produce 1–2°C spreads in short-range ensembles. Updated model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution thresholds before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan