Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader consensus toward a 27–29°C maximum on September 21, with 28°C leading at 29.5% implied probability. Light southeasterly winds, typical of spring anticyclonic flow, are expected to limit excessive warming while allowing strong solar insolation during peak daylight hours. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with climatological September highs near 20–21°C but reflecting a modest positive anomaly observed in mid-month observations. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 26–30°C outcomes include subtle differences in wind speed timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service readings, with updated model guidance expected before local noon on the 21st.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
28°C 30%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
20%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 30%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$95 Vol.
1%
23°C
$227 Vol.
2%
24°C
$31 Vol.
2%
25°C
$85 Vol.
4%
26°C
$18 Vol.
11%
27°C
$204 Vol.
24%
28°C
$301 Vol.
30%
29°C
$2,150 Vol.
20%
30°C
$377 Vol.
5%
31°C
$57 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$7 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader consensus toward a 27–29°C maximum on September 21, with 28°C leading at 29.5% implied probability. Light southeasterly winds, typical of spring anticyclonic flow, are expected to limit excessive warming while allowing strong solar insolation during peak daylight hours. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with climatological September highs near 20–21°C but reflecting a modest positive anomaly observed in mid-month observations. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 26–30°C outcomes include subtle differences in wind speed timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service readings, with updated model guidance expected before local noon on the 21st.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,551Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader consensus toward a 27–29°C maximum on September 21, with 28°C leading at 29.5% implied probability. Light southeasterly winds, typical of spring anticyclonic flow, are expected to limit excessive warming while allowing strong solar insolation during peak daylight hours. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with climatological September highs near 20–21°C but reflecting a modest positive anomaly observed in mid-month observations. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 26–30°C outcomes include subtle differences in wind speed timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service readings, with updated model guidance expected before local noon on the 21st.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,551Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader consensus toward a 27–29°C maximum on September 21, with 28°C leading at 29.5% implied probability. Light southeasterly winds, typical of spring anticyclonic flow, are expected to limit excessive warming while allowing strong solar insolation during peak daylight hours. Recent model runs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with climatological September highs near 20–21°C but reflecting a modest positive anomaly observed in mid-month observations. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 26–30°C outcomes include subtle differences in wind speed timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized orographic effects around Table Mountain. Final resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service readings, with updated model guidance expected before local noon on the 21st.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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