Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the mid- to upper-90s for Houston on August 18 amid above-normal temperatures across the southern Plains. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 96-97°F, as persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated dew points support afternoon readings several degrees above the 93–96°F climatological average. While 98-99°F retains secondary support if daytime heating intensifies, cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover could cap the peak nearer 94-95°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local offices remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 18?
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 24%
94-95°F 7%
100-101°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
68%
98-99°F
24%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 68%
98-99°F 24%
94-95°F 7%
100-101°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
89°F or below
$557 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$950 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$821 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$705 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$2,895 Vol.
68%
98-99°F
$539 Vol.
24%
100-101°F
$761 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the mid- to upper-90s for Houston on August 18 amid above-normal temperatures across the southern Plains. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 96-97°F, as persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated dew points support afternoon readings several degrees above the 93–96°F climatological average. While 98-99°F retains secondary support if daytime heating intensifies, cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover could cap the peak nearer 94-95°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local offices remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$8,119Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the mid- to upper-90s for Houston on August 18 amid above-normal temperatures across the southern Plains. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 96-97°F, as persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated dew points support afternoon readings several degrees above the 93–96°F climatological average. While 98-99°F retains secondary support if daytime heating intensifies, cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover could cap the peak nearer 94-95°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local offices remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,119Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the mid- to upper-90s for Houston on August 18 amid above-normal temperatures across the southern Plains. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 96-97°F, as persistent high pressure, light winds, and elevated dew points support afternoon readings several degrees above the 93–96°F climatological average. While 98-99°F retains secondary support if daytime heating intensifies, cooler marine influences or increased cloud cover could cap the peak nearer 94-95°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local offices remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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