The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on July 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 13?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 Vol.
$45,472 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 Vol.
$45,472 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
75°F or below
$4,989 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,693 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$3,908 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,938 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,818 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5,490 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,125 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$45,472Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,472Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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