Current forecast models for Istanbul on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds characteristic of the Mediterranean summer regime, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. These outcomes hinge on subtle variations in shortwave radiation absorption, boundary-layer mixing, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus sea breeze, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C compared to inland sites. Recent late-July observations and climatological baselines show similar stable conditions around 28–29°C, with minimal synoptic forcing expected before any potential model shifts in the next 48 hours. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than broader heat-wave signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 3?
28°C 35%
29°C 30%
27°C 28%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
28%
28°C
35%
29°C
30%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 30%
27°C 28%
30°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
23°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3 Vol.
5%
27°C
$24 Vol.
28%
28°C
$59 Vol.
35%
29°C
$40 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$13 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Istanbul on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds characteristic of the Mediterranean summer regime, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. These outcomes hinge on subtle variations in shortwave radiation absorption, boundary-layer mixing, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus sea breeze, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C compared to inland sites. Recent late-July observations and climatological baselines show similar stable conditions around 28–29°C, with minimal synoptic forcing expected before any potential model shifts in the next 48 hours. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than broader heat-wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$205Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Istanbul on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds characteristic of the Mediterranean summer regime, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. These outcomes hinge on subtle variations in shortwave radiation absorption, boundary-layer mixing, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus sea breeze, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C compared to inland sites. Recent late-July observations and climatological baselines show similar stable conditions around 28–29°C, with minimal synoptic forcing expected before any potential model shifts in the next 48 hours. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than broader heat-wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$205Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Istanbul on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 28°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds characteristic of the Mediterranean summer regime, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. These outcomes hinge on subtle variations in shortwave radiation absorption, boundary-layer mixing, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus sea breeze, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C compared to inland sites. Recent late-July observations and climatological baselines show similar stable conditions around 28–29°C, with minimal synoptic forcing expected before any potential model shifts in the next 48 hours. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band rather than broader heat-wave signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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