Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$139 Vol.
3%
23°C
$33 Vol.
3%
24°C
$72 Vol.
5%
25°C
$23 Vol.
23%
26°C
$413 Vol.
47%
27°C
$45 Vol.
24%
28°C
$33 Vol.
9%
29°C
$285 Vol.
3%
30°C
$32 Vol.
1%
31°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,247Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,247Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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