Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a ridge of high pressure over eastern China, promoting subsidence and warm air advection across the Shandong Peninsula, which has lifted trader-implied odds for a 34–36°C high in coastal Qingdao on August 3 above climatological norms near 30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on peak values, with some runs incorporating stronger onshore flow that could enhance marine cooling and cap readings near 34°C while others allow greater inland heating to push toward 36°C or briefly higher. Low precipitation probabilities and clear-sky conditions in the latest guidance further support elevated maxima, though typical summer humidity and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 3?
35°C 32%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
29%
35°C
32%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
11%
35°C 32%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$20 Vol.
4%
32°C
$77 Vol.
3%
33°C
$67 Vol.
11%
34°C
$44 Vol.
29%
35°C
$101 Vol.
32%
36°C
$0 Vol.
22%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a ridge of high pressure over eastern China, promoting subsidence and warm air advection across the Shandong Peninsula, which has lifted trader-implied odds for a 34–36°C high in coastal Qingdao on August 3 above climatological norms near 30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on peak values, with some runs incorporating stronger onshore flow that could enhance marine cooling and cap readings near 34°C while others allow greater inland heating to push toward 36°C or briefly higher. Low precipitation probabilities and clear-sky conditions in the latest guidance further support elevated maxima, though typical summer humidity and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,262Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a ridge of high pressure over eastern China, promoting subsidence and warm air advection across the Shandong Peninsula, which has lifted trader-implied odds for a 34–36°C high in coastal Qingdao on August 3 above climatological norms near 30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on peak values, with some runs incorporating stronger onshore flow that could enhance marine cooling and cap readings near 34°C while others allow greater inland heating to push toward 36°C or briefly higher. Low precipitation probabilities and clear-sky conditions in the latest guidance further support elevated maxima, though typical summer humidity and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,262Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a ridge of high pressure over eastern China, promoting subsidence and warm air advection across the Shandong Peninsula, which has lifted trader-implied odds for a 34–36°C high in coastal Qingdao on August 3 above climatological norms near 30°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on peak values, with some runs incorporating stronger onshore flow that could enhance marine cooling and cap readings near 34°C while others allow greater inland heating to push toward 36°C or briefly higher. Low precipitation probabilities and clear-sky conditions in the latest guidance further support elevated maxima, though typical summer humidity and afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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