Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow across the Los Angeles basin, limiting daytime heating and keeping the official high (typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport) in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8. This pattern follows several days of 85°F readings and aligns with climatological August averages near 85°F while favoring cooler coastal outcomes. Key variables include the depth of the marine inversion, stratus coverage timing, and any weakening of offshore winds, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–79°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 8?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 8%
$10,948 Vol.
$10,948 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 8%
$10,948 Vol.
$10,948 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow across the Los Angeles basin, limiting daytime heating and keeping the official high (typically measured at Los Angeles International Airport) in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 8. This pattern follows several days of 85°F readings and aligns with climatological August averages near 85°F while favoring cooler coastal outcomes. Key variables include the depth of the marine inversion, stratus coverage timing, and any weakening of offshore winds, all of which introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–79°F. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan