Recent forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on September 21 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by a weak southwest monsoon delivering light to moderate winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating. These conditions align with typical September climatology in the region, where average daily maxima reach about 32°C amid the rainy season. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and convective activity, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 34°C if steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against official monitoring thresholds, with updated PAGASA outlooks and hourly observations expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 21?
33°C 45%
32°C 30%
34°C 12%
31°C 8%
BARU
$12,070 Vol.
BARU
$12,070 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
30%
33°C
45%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 30%
34°C 12%
31°C 8%
BARU
$12,070 Vol.
BARU
$12,070 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
$177 Vol.
1%
29°C
$333 Vol.
2%
30°C
$529 Vol.
3%
31°C
$4,067 Vol.
8%
32°C
$2,246 Vol.
30%
33°C
$3,160 Vol.
45%
34°C
$1,224 Vol.
12%
35°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$18 Vol.
1%
37°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on September 21 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by a weak southwest monsoon delivering light to moderate winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating. These conditions align with typical September climatology in the region, where average daily maxima reach about 32°C amid the rainy season. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and convective activity, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 34°C if steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against official monitoring thresholds, with updated PAGASA outlooks and hourly observations expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$12,070Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on September 21 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by a weak southwest monsoon delivering light to moderate winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating. These conditions align with typical September climatology in the region, where average daily maxima reach about 32°C amid the rainy season. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and convective activity, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 34°C if steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against official monitoring thresholds, with updated PAGASA outlooks and hourly observations expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,070Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Manila on September 21 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by a weak southwest monsoon delivering light to moderate winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating. These conditions align with typical September climatology in the region, where average daily maxima reach about 32°C amid the rainy season. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and convective activity, though brief clear periods could allow brief spikes toward 34°C if steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against official monitoring thresholds, with updated PAGASA outlooks and hourly observations expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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