Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically produces mid-August daytime maxima near 24–25°C, with trader consensus centering on 25–26°C due to persistent afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that suppress further warming. Official station data, including recent Tacubaya observations, show 27°C on clearer days but align with seasonal norms when moisture and cloud patterns dominate. Short-term model guidance for August 18 indicates highs of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with historical averages and the limited potential for strong radiative heating. Newer forecast updates or shifts in steering flow could nudge outcomes toward the edges of this range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
26°C 43%
25°C 35%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
35%
26°C
43%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 35%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
35%
26°C
43%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland climate typically produces mid-August daytime maxima near 24–25°C, with trader consensus centering on 25–26°C due to persistent afternoon cloud cover and convective showers that suppress further warming. Official station data, including recent Tacubaya observations, show 27°C on clearer days but align with seasonal norms when moisture and cloud patterns dominate. Short-term model guidance for August 18 indicates highs of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with historical averages and the limited potential for strong radiative heating. Newer forecast updates or shifts in steering flow could nudge outcomes toward the edges of this range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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