Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on August 4 most likely between 34–36°C under high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from seasonal solar input without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping extremes below 37°C improbable. This distribution underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or below (44.0% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C at 25.0%. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reflecting stable steering patterns and typical Po Valley summer variability; further model updates ahead of the date will determine if any late adjustments alter these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 4?
34°C or below 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
44%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
$142 Vol.
44%
35°C
$32 Vol.
30%
36°C
$55 Vol.
25%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C
$11 Vol.
2%
39°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$40 Vol.
1%
41°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on August 4 most likely between 34–36°C under high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from seasonal solar input without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping extremes below 37°C improbable. This distribution underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or below (44.0% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C at 25.0%. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reflecting stable steering patterns and typical Po Valley summer variability; further model updates ahead of the date will determine if any late adjustments alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on August 4 most likely between 34–36°C under high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from seasonal solar input without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping extremes below 37°C improbable. This distribution underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or below (44.0% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C at 25.0%. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reflecting stable steering patterns and typical Po Valley summer variability; further model updates ahead of the date will determine if any late adjustments alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on August 4 most likely between 34–36°C under high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from seasonal solar input without significant warm advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping extremes below 37°C improbable. This distribution underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or below (44.0% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), with 36°C at 25.0%. Updated runs in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, reflecting stable steering patterns and typical Po Valley summer variability; further model updates ahead of the date will determine if any late adjustments alter these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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