Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 2?
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 22%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
22%
23°C
27%
24°C
33%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 22%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
4%
22°C
$4,262 Vol.
22%
23°C
$478 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,107 Vol.
33%
25°C
$831 Vol.
17%
26°C
$292 Vol.
2%
27°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$8,696Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,696Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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