Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 2?
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
83°F or below
$174 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$196 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$361 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$468 Vol.
10%
90-91°F
$523 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$488 Vol.
43%
94-95°F
$935 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$153 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$139 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$173 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,787Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,787Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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