Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes, reflecting stable post-frontal conditions typical for late September rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 21°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread in forecasts limits upside potential for 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weight the latest model agreement heavily ahead of overnight updates, with any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation likely to determine the final observed high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 21?
23°C 47%
22°C 36%
24°C 13%
21°C 6%
BARU
$12,422 Vol.
BARU
$12,422 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
36%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 36%
24°C 13%
21°C 6%
BARU
$12,422 Vol.
BARU
$12,422 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$505 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$722 Vol.
6%
22°C
$3,768 Vol.
36%
23°C
$2,656 Vol.
47%
24°C
$1,898 Vol.
13%
25°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$222 Vol.
1%
27°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes, reflecting stable post-frontal conditions typical for late September rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 21°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread in forecasts limits upside potential for 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weight the latest model agreement heavily ahead of overnight updates, with any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation likely to determine the final observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,422Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes, reflecting stable post-frontal conditions typical for late September rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 21°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread in forecasts limits upside potential for 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weight the latest model agreement heavily ahead of overnight updates, with any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation likely to determine the final observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,422Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes, reflecting stable post-frontal conditions typical for late September rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Historical September 21 averages near 21°C provide climatological context, while the narrow spread in forecasts limits upside potential for 24°C or higher. Traders appear to weight the latest model agreement heavily ahead of overnight updates, with any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation likely to determine the final observed high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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