Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 13?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$37,821 Vol.
$37,821 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$37,821 Vol.
$37,821 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
12°C or below
$2,538 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,823 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,282 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,255 Vol.
100%
18°C
$4,375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,154 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,530 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,740 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$3,877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$37,821Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,821Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C outcomes for São Paulo’s July 13 maximum because short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models indicates a cooler winter day under high pressure and reduced insolation, pulling the expected peak below the 21–23°C July climatological average. Recent observations show overnight lows near 10–12°C with limited daytime warming expected amid possible increased cloudiness or a modest cold-air advection pattern. One-degree resolution hinges on afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with model spread reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 16–18°C brackets. Official station data from Guarulhos will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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