Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on July 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 9?
35°C 33%
36°C 27%
34°C 18%
37°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
18%
35°C
33%
36°C
27%
37°C
11%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 33%
36°C 27%
34°C 18%
37°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
$972 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,132 Vol.
1%
31°C
$63 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,131 Vol.
1%
33°C
$998 Vol.
9%
34°C
$24 Vol.
18%
35°C
$484 Vol.
33%
36°C
$562 Vol.
27%
37°C
$137 Vol.
11%
38°C or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,113Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,113Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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