Latest short-range meteorological guidance positions a 33°C high as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 4, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show modest positive temperature anomalies above the August climatological baseline of 31–32°C, reflecting reduced Mediterranean sea-breeze influence along the coastal plain. Historical data indicate that such conditions commonly produce afternoon maxima near 33°C without significant advection of hotter continental air. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (59%) to 33°C because recent model consensus has converged on this value, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 4?
33°C 59%
32°C 29%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
29%
33°C
59%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 29%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
$19 Vol.
2%
31°C
$16 Vol.
4%
32°C
$24 Vol.
29%
33°C
$170 Vol.
59%
34°C
$47 Vol.
15%
35°C
$15 Vol.
3%
36°C
$101 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
3%
38°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$10 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range meteorological guidance positions a 33°C high as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 4, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show modest positive temperature anomalies above the August climatological baseline of 31–32°C, reflecting reduced Mediterranean sea-breeze influence along the coastal plain. Historical data indicate that such conditions commonly produce afternoon maxima near 33°C without significant advection of hotter continental air. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (59%) to 33°C because recent model consensus has converged on this value, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$482Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range meteorological guidance positions a 33°C high as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 4, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show modest positive temperature anomalies above the August climatological baseline of 31–32°C, reflecting reduced Mediterranean sea-breeze influence along the coastal plain. Historical data indicate that such conditions commonly produce afternoon maxima near 33°C without significant advection of hotter continental air. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (59%) to 33°C because recent model consensus has converged on this value, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$482Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range meteorological guidance positions a 33°C high as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 4, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show modest positive temperature anomalies above the August climatological baseline of 31–32°C, reflecting reduced Mediterranean sea-breeze influence along the coastal plain. Historical data indicate that such conditions commonly produce afternoon maxima near 33°C without significant advection of hotter continental air. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (59%) to 33°C because recent model consensus has converged on this value, with only modest upside risk to 34°C if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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