Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 28–29°C for Toronto on August 8 amid a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread in peak afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convective activity, and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation, which often caps temperatures along the shoreline by several degrees relative to inland areas. Historical August maxima near 27–28°C provide context, while urban heat-island effects and potential for brief clearing could push readings to 30°C at Pearson Airport or downtown stations used for market resolution. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 8?
30°C 37%
29°C 31%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
31%
30°C
37%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 31%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
31%
30°C
37%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 28–29°C for Toronto on August 8 amid a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread in peak afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convective activity, and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation, which often caps temperatures along the shoreline by several degrees relative to inland areas. Historical August maxima near 27–28°C provide context, while urban heat-island effects and potential for brief clearing could push readings to 30°C at Pearson Airport or downtown stations used for market resolution. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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