Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on July 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 14?
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
BARU
$12,565 Vol.
BARU
$12,565 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
48%
37°C
31%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
BARU
$12,565 Vol.
BARU
$12,565 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
32°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$749 Vol.
2%
35°C
$2,139 Vol.
10%
36°C
$2,527 Vol.
48%
37°C
$1,773 Vol.
31%
38°C
$965 Vol.
13%
39°C
$1,067 Vol.
1%
40°C
$510 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$12,565Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,565Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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