Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 4?
10°C 50%
11°C 29%
9°C 17%
7°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
17%
10°C
50%
11°C
29%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 50%
11°C 29%
9°C 17%
7°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
4°C or below
$427 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$20 Vol.
4%
8°C
$92 Vol.
4%
9°C
$130 Vol.
17%
10°C
$168 Vol.
50%
11°C
$131 Vol.
29%
12°C
$75 Vol.
4%
13°C
$90 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,832Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,832Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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