Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 6.7%
$272,997 Vol.
$272,997 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
2%
<2s
1%
2–6s
7%
6–10s
16%
10–15s
22%
15s+
57%
Photographed only
1%
15s+ 57%
10–15s 22%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 6.7%
$272,997 Vol.
$272,997 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,896 Vol.
2%
<2s
$41,810 Vol.
1%
2–6s
$42,624 Vol.
7%
6–10s
$20,728 Vol.
16%
10–15s
$20,941 Vol.
22%
15s+
$50,170 Vol.
57%
Photographed only
$42,266 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$272,997Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$272,997Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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