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Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Lindsay James

$3,646 Vol.

94%

Kathy Dolter

$1,917 Vol.

2%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,628 Vol.

1%

Don Primus

$1,012 Vol.

<1%

Guy Morgan

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her incumbency as an Iowa state House representative, providing proven legislative experience and name recognition over challengers Kathy Dolter, Clint Twedt-Ball, and minor candidates. Key endorsements from EMILYs List and Iowa Teamsters bolster her fundraising and organizational edge in this low-profile race. Recent candidate forums, including a May 13 debate on healthcare and immigration hosted by KCRG and KWQC, highlighted policy contrasts but reinforced her frontrunner status without notable shifts. With the June 2 primary nearing, her position faces low upset risk barring late scandals, health issues, or a surprise turnout surge among progressive voters favoring Dolter.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,355
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary due to her incumbency as an Iowa state House representative, providing proven legislative experience and name recognition over challengers Kathy Dolter, Clint Twedt-Ball, and minor candidates. Key endorsements from EMILYs List and Iowa Teamsters bolster her fundraising and organizational edge in this low-profile race. Recent candidate forums, including a May 13 debate on healthcare and immigration hosted by KCRG and KWQC, highlighted policy contrasts but reinforced her frontrunner status without notable shifts. With the June 2 primary nearing, her position faces low upset risk barring late scandals, health issues, or a surprise turnout surge among progressive voters favoring Dolter.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,355
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lindsay James" di 94%, diikuti oleh "Kathy Dolter" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 94¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Feb 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Lindsay James" di 94%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kathy Dolter" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.