Trader consensus prices a near-certain “No” outcome for full removal of Jones Act cabotage rules by June 30, reflecting the absence of any permanent legislative repeal or executive overhaul amid ongoing temporary waivers. The Trump administration’s 60-day waiver, extended 90 days through mid-August 2026 to ease energy and fertilizer transport amid Iran-related supply shocks, has lowered short-term shipping costs without altering the underlying statute requiring U.S.-built, owned, and crewed vessels. Maritime unions and domestic operators continue to defend the century-old protection, citing national-security benefits and shipyard employment, while no congressional bills have advanced. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities anchored near 100 percent “No,” with only remote tail risks such as an acute national-defense emergency forcing last-minute statutory change before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$52,403 Vol.
$52,403 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain “No” outcome for full removal of Jones Act cabotage rules by June 30, reflecting the absence of any permanent legislative repeal or executive overhaul amid ongoing temporary waivers. The Trump administration’s 60-day waiver, extended 90 days through mid-August 2026 to ease energy and fertilizer transport amid Iran-related supply shocks, has lowered short-term shipping costs without altering the underlying statute requiring U.S.-built, owned, and crewed vessels. Maritime unions and domestic operators continue to defend the century-old protection, citing national-security benefits and shipyard employment, while no congressional bills have advanced. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities anchored near 100 percent “No,” with only remote tail risks such as an acute national-defense emergency forcing last-minute statutory change before resolution.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$52,403Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain “No” outcome for full removal of Jones Act cabotage rules by June 30, reflecting the absence of any permanent legislative repeal or executive overhaul amid ongoing temporary waivers. The Trump administration’s 60-day waiver, extended 90 days through mid-August 2026 to ease energy and fertilizer transport amid Iran-related supply shocks, has lowered short-term shipping costs without altering the underlying statute requiring U.S.-built, owned, and crewed vessels. Maritime unions and domestic operators continue to defend the century-old protection, citing national-security benefits and shipyard employment, while no congressional bills have advanced. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities anchored near 100 percent “No,” with only remote tail risks such as an acute national-defense emergency forcing last-minute statutory change before resolution.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,403Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a near-certain “No” outcome for full removal of Jones Act cabotage rules by June 30, reflecting the absence of any permanent legislative repeal or executive overhaul amid ongoing temporary waivers. The Trump administration’s 60-day waiver, extended 90 days through mid-August 2026 to ease energy and fertilizer transport amid Iran-related supply shocks, has lowered short-term shipping costs without altering the underlying statute requiring U.S.-built, owned, and crewed vessels. Maritime unions and domestic operators continue to defend the century-old protection, citing national-security benefits and shipyard employment, while no congressional bills have advanced. This dynamic keeps implied probabilities anchored near 100 percent “No,” with only remote tail risks such as an acute national-defense emergency forcing last-minute statutory change before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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