Iran's official @khamenei_ir account has maintained consistently low posting volume in recent months amid the leadership transition following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026 and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as Supreme Leader. Official statements and appointments by the new leader have occurred primarily through state media channels rather than frequent X activity, reinforcing trader expectations of minimal output during the August 11-18 window. Historical patterns of the account, including similar low-activity periods tracked in prior markets, underpin the strong consensus on fewer than five posts. A major escalation in regional tensions or direct public directive could still increase volume within the resolution period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
<5 97.2%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,653 Vol.
$16,653 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
<5
97%
5-9
3%
10-14
1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.2%
5-9 3.4%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,653 Vol.
$16,653 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
<5
$5,179 Vol.
97%
5-9
$2,833 Vol.
3%
10-14
$1,282 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$991 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$440 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$321 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$358 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$406 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$406 Vol.
<1%
60+
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's official @khamenei_ir account has maintained consistently low posting volume in recent months amid the leadership transition following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026 and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as Supreme Leader. Official statements and appointments by the new leader have occurred primarily through state media channels rather than frequent X activity, reinforcing trader expectations of minimal output during the August 11-18 window. Historical patterns of the account, including similar low-activity periods tracked in prior markets, underpin the strong consensus on fewer than five posts. A major escalation in regional tensions or direct public directive could still increase volume within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$16,653Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's official @khamenei_ir account has maintained consistently low posting volume in recent months amid the leadership transition following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026 and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as Supreme Leader. Official statements and appointments by the new leader have occurred primarily through state media channels rather than frequent X activity, reinforcing trader expectations of minimal output during the August 11-18 window. Historical patterns of the account, including similar low-activity periods tracked in prior markets, underpin the strong consensus on fewer than five posts. A major escalation in regional tensions or direct public directive could still increase volume within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,653Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's official @khamenei_ir account has maintained consistently low posting volume in recent months amid the leadership transition following Ali Khamenei's death earlier in 2026 and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as Supreme Leader. Official statements and appointments by the new leader have occurred primarily through state media channels rather than frequent X activity, reinforcing trader expectations of minimal output during the August 11-18 window. Historical patterns of the account, including similar low-activity periods tracked in prior markets, underpin the strong consensus on fewer than five posts. A major escalation in regional tensions or direct public directive could still increase volume within the resolution period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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