Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters are sustaining overnight minimum temperatures near the long-term August climatological average of 78°F for Miami, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low of 79°F amid typical scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies reinforce trader consensus around the 78-79°F bin, which holds 94% implied probability. Historical data show August lows rarely fall below 74°F without an atypical cold front or strong outflow boundary, both improbable this time of year. A sudden clearing trend or unusually vigorous convective downdraft could produce a brief dip toward 76-77°F, though model consensus indicates such deviations remain low-probability outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 7?
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 4%
76-77°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
94%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 4%
76-77°F 4%
72-73°F <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
69°F or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$802 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$258 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$232 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$552 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$1,093 Vol.
94%
80-81°F
$981 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$959 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters are sustaining overnight minimum temperatures near the long-term August climatological average of 78°F for Miami, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low of 79°F amid typical scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies reinforce trader consensus around the 78-79°F bin, which holds 94% implied probability. Historical data show August lows rarely fall below 74°F without an atypical cold front or strong outflow boundary, both improbable this time of year. A sudden clearing trend or unusually vigorous convective downdraft could produce a brief dip toward 76-77°F, though model consensus indicates such deviations remain low-probability outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,792Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters are sustaining overnight minimum temperatures near the long-term August climatological average of 78°F for Miami, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low of 79°F amid typical scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies reinforce trader consensus around the 78-79°F bin, which holds 94% implied probability. Historical data show August lows rarely fall below 74°F without an atypical cold front or strong outflow boundary, both improbable this time of year. A sudden clearing trend or unusually vigorous convective downdraft could produce a brief dip toward 76-77°F, though model consensus indicates such deviations remain low-probability outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,792Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters are sustaining overnight minimum temperatures near the long-term August climatological average of 78°F for Miami, with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a low of 79°F amid typical scattered thunderstorm activity. High humidity and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies reinforce trader consensus around the 78-79°F bin, which holds 94% implied probability. Historical data show August lows rarely fall below 74°F without an atypical cold front or strong outflow boundary, both improbable this time of year. A sudden clearing trend or unusually vigorous convective downdraft could produce a brief dip toward 76-77°F, though model consensus indicates such deviations remain low-probability outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan