Météo-France's latest short-range forecast pins Paris's morning low at 5°C on May 15 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and northerly cold air advection, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for a 5°C minimum. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic pattern suppresses daytime warming to around 14°C maxima while limiting radiative cooling overnight, with ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a tight spread centered 4–6°C that supports 26.5% odds on 4°C. This setup marks a notable dip below mid-May climatological norms of 9–10°C lows, driven by a blocking high steering chilly air masses southward. Official station readings from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve later today, though model agreement tempers major shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 15?
5°C 59.5%
3°C 4.0%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$11,883 Vol.
$11,883 Vol.
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
4%
4°C
40%
5°C
60%
5°C 59.5%
3°C 4.0%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$11,883 Vol.
$11,883 Vol.
May 15, 2026
-2°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
-1°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$714 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$581 Vol.
1%
2°C
$466 Vol.
1%
3°C
$341 Vol.
4%
4°C
$193 Vol.
40%
5°C
$289 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecast pins Paris's morning low at 5°C on May 15 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and northerly cold air advection, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for a 5°C minimum. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic pattern suppresses daytime warming to around 14°C maxima while limiting radiative cooling overnight, with ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a tight spread centered 4–6°C that supports 26.5% odds on 4°C. This setup marks a notable dip below mid-May climatological norms of 9–10°C lows, driven by a blocking high steering chilly air masses southward. Official station readings from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve later today, though model agreement tempers major shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$11,883Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecast pins Paris's morning low at 5°C on May 15 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and northerly cold air advection, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for a 5°C minimum. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic pattern suppresses daytime warming to around 14°C maxima while limiting radiative cooling overnight, with ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a tight spread centered 4–6°C that supports 26.5% odds on 4°C. This setup marks a notable dip below mid-May climatological norms of 9–10°C lows, driven by a blocking high steering chilly air masses southward. Official station readings from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve later today, though model agreement tempers major shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,883Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest short-range forecast pins Paris's morning low at 5°C on May 15 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and northerly cold air advection, anchoring trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability for a 5°C minimum. Persistent cloud cover from an unstable Atlantic pattern suppresses daytime warming to around 14°C maxima while limiting radiative cooling overnight, with ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a tight spread centered 4–6°C that supports 26.5% odds on 4°C. This setup marks a notable dip below mid-May climatological norms of 9–10°C lows, driven by a blocking high steering chilly air masses southward. Official station readings from Paris-Montsouris or Orly will resolve later today, though model agreement tempers major shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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