Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 14 project a minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, establishing the central tendency reflected in closely bunched market odds around 24–26°C. Persistent regional heat and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and any isolated showers could suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C depending on timing. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture; traders appear to weight official guidance most heavily given the short 48-hour horizon. Updated KMA short-range and medium-range model runs over the next day will likely drive any further convergence or divergence in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
27%
25°C
32%
26°C
34%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$158 Vol.
1%
22°C
$269 Vol.
2%
23°C
$240 Vol.
10%
24°C
$633 Vol.
27%
25°C
$846 Vol.
32%
26°C
$641 Vol.
34%
27°C
$347 Vol.
5%
28°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 14 project a minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, establishing the central tendency reflected in closely bunched market odds around 24–26°C. Persistent regional heat and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and any isolated showers could suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C depending on timing. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture; traders appear to weight official guidance most heavily given the short 48-hour horizon. Updated KMA short-range and medium-range model runs over the next day will likely drive any further convergence or divergence in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,182Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 14 project a minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, establishing the central tendency reflected in closely bunched market odds around 24–26°C. Persistent regional heat and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and any isolated showers could suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C depending on timing. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture; traders appear to weight official guidance most heavily given the short 48-hour horizon. Updated KMA short-range and medium-range model runs over the next day will likely drive any further convergence or divergence in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,182Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 14 project a minimum of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, establishing the central tendency reflected in closely bunched market odds around 24–26°C. Persistent regional heat and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and any isolated showers could suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C depending on timing. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture; traders appear to weight official guidance most heavily given the short 48-hour horizon. Updated KMA short-range and medium-range model runs over the next day will likely drive any further convergence or divergence in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan