Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a low of 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 3, driven by the lingering effects of a tropical cyclone remnant and associated northerly flow that has enhanced cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler advection ahead of clearer post-frontal conditions. Model consensus shows modest cooling relative to climatological norms of ~23°C, with wind speeds of 3–5 m/s and dew points supporting overnight radiative cooling limited by residual moisture. Market-implied odds clustered near 20–23°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while the elevated weighting on 17°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NMC guidance and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum temperature outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
17°C or below 59%
25°C 50%
20°C 27%
22°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
59%
18°C
9%
19°C
17%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
50%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
17°C or below 59%
25°C 50%
20°C 27%
22°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
59%
18°C
$5 Vol.
9%
19°C
$5 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$20 Vol.
50%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a low of 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 3, driven by the lingering effects of a tropical cyclone remnant and associated northerly flow that has enhanced cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler advection ahead of clearer post-frontal conditions. Model consensus shows modest cooling relative to climatological norms of ~23°C, with wind speeds of 3–5 m/s and dew points supporting overnight radiative cooling limited by residual moisture. Market-implied odds clustered near 20–23°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while the elevated weighting on 17°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NMC guidance and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a low of 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 3, driven by the lingering effects of a tropical cyclone remnant and associated northerly flow that has enhanced cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler advection ahead of clearer post-frontal conditions. Model consensus shows modest cooling relative to climatological norms of ~23°C, with wind speeds of 3–5 m/s and dew points supporting overnight radiative cooling limited by residual moisture. Market-implied odds clustered near 20–23°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while the elevated weighting on 17°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NMC guidance and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a low of 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 3, driven by the lingering effects of a tropical cyclone remnant and associated northerly flow that has enhanced cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler advection ahead of clearer post-frontal conditions. Model consensus shows modest cooling relative to climatological norms of ~23°C, with wind speeds of 3–5 m/s and dew points supporting overnight radiative cooling limited by residual moisture. Market-implied odds clustered near 20–23°C reflect this narrow forecast range, while the elevated weighting on 17°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NMC guidance and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum temperature outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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