The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the cycle’s most competitive House races, with a narrow partisan lean and recent history of narrow margins that supports the current 61-38 trader consensus favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate bid; the district’s mix of Ingham County, university communities, and suburban areas has produced close results in recent cycles. On the Democratic side, William Lawrence secured the August 4 primary nomination with roughly 43% after moderates Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam split the remaining vote, leaving a progressive activist to face Barrett in November. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting limited general-election polling, early fundraising patterns, and the impact of the just-completed primary on general-election positioning. The November 3 general election timeline and any subsequent shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments continue to shape positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,409 Vol.
$17,409 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
38%
$17,409 Vol.
$17,409 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,856 Vol.
61%
Republican Party
$5,553 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the cycle’s most competitive House races, with a narrow partisan lean and recent history of narrow margins that supports the current 61-38 trader consensus favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate bid; the district’s mix of Ingham County, university communities, and suburban areas has produced close results in recent cycles. On the Democratic side, William Lawrence secured the August 4 primary nomination with roughly 43% after moderates Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam split the remaining vote, leaving a progressive activist to face Barrett in November. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting limited general-election polling, early fundraising patterns, and the impact of the just-completed primary on general-election positioning. The November 3 general election timeline and any subsequent shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments continue to shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,409Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the cycle’s most competitive House races, with a narrow partisan lean and recent history of narrow margins that supports the current 61-38 trader consensus favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate bid; the district’s mix of Ingham County, university communities, and suburban areas has produced close results in recent cycles. On the Democratic side, William Lawrence secured the August 4 primary nomination with roughly 43% after moderates Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam split the remaining vote, leaving a progressive activist to face Barrett in November. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting limited general-election polling, early fundraising patterns, and the impact of the just-completed primary on general-election positioning. The November 3 general election timeline and any subsequent shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments continue to shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,409Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the cycle’s most competitive House races, with a narrow partisan lean and recent history of narrow margins that supports the current 61-38 trader consensus favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett won the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate bid; the district’s mix of Ingham County, university communities, and suburban areas has produced close results in recent cycles. On the Democratic side, William Lawrence secured the August 4 primary nomination with roughly 43% after moderates Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam split the remaining vote, leaving a progressive activist to face Barrett in November. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting limited general-election polling, early fundraising patterns, and the impact of the just-completed primary on general-election positioning. The November 3 general election timeline and any subsequent shifts in national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments continue to shape positioning.
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