Trader sentiment on the next Google Gemini Pro large language model reflects significant uncertainty around a June 2026 release window for the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro iteration. With no single date commanding more than 18% implied probability and “no release by June 30” holding a narrow 20.5% lead, markets price in flexible internal testing cycles, ongoing capability validation, and competitive pressure from recent OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models. Google’s May I/O rollout of Gemini 3.5 Flash demonstrated rapid iteration on agentic features, yet the more advanced Pro variant remains in testing without an official announcement or earnings commentary to anchor timing. This spread captures historical cadence variability and the risk of summer delays amid rigorous safety and benchmark evaluations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo release by June 30 20.5%
June 23 18%
June 30 15%
June 16 8%
$97,097 Vol.
$97,097 Vol.
June 10
<1%
June 11
4%
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
3%
June 16
8%
June 17
8%
June 18
6%
June 19
1%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
18%
June 24
3%
June 25
1%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
15%
No release by June 30
20%
No release by June 30 20.5%
June 23 18%
June 30 15%
June 16 8%
$97,097 Vol.
$97,097 Vol.
June 10
<1%
June 11
4%
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
3%
June 16
8%
June 17
8%
June 18
6%
June 19
1%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
18%
June 24
3%
June 25
1%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
15%
No release by June 30
20%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next Google Gemini Pro large language model reflects significant uncertainty around a June 2026 release window for the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro iteration. With no single date commanding more than 18% implied probability and “no release by June 30” holding a narrow 20.5% lead, markets price in flexible internal testing cycles, ongoing capability validation, and competitive pressure from recent OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models. Google’s May I/O rollout of Gemini 3.5 Flash demonstrated rapid iteration on agentic features, yet the more advanced Pro variant remains in testing without an official announcement or earnings commentary to anchor timing. This spread captures historical cadence variability and the risk of summer delays amid rigorous safety and benchmark evaluations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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