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Politik·Primer

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

David Brock Smith 76.8%

Jo Rae Perkins 19%

Russell McAlmond 1.4%

Deborah C. Brown <1%

Polymarket

$95,921 Vol.

David Brock Smith 76.8%

Jo Rae Perkins 19%

Russell McAlmond 1.4%

Deborah C. Brown <1%

Polymarket

$95,921 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$6,275 Vol.

77%

Jo Rae Perkins

$16,033 Vol.

19%

Russell McAlmond

$15,210 Vol.

1%

Deborah C. Brown

$3,296 Vol.

1%

Joe Johnson

$11,276 Vol.

<1%

Tim Skelton

$9,519 Vol.

<1%

David Burch

$23,865 Vol.

<1%

Brent Barker

$2,962 Vol.

<1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$7,498 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Brock Smith holds a commanding lead in the Oregon Republican Senate primary as the only sitting state senator in the field, with his legislative experience since 2023 and prior House service providing a clear edge over repeat candidate Jo Rae Perkins. Traders have priced in Smith’s March 2026 announcement and rural advocacy focus as key advantages ahead of the May 19 primary, where ballots were mailed in late April. Perkins, who secured the GOP nomination in 2020 and 2022 but lost both generals, maintains residual name recognition yet trails sharply on fundraising and institutional support. The remaining candidates, including Russell McAlmond and several lesser-known entrants, register minimal market share due to limited visibility and resources in this fragmented contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$95,921
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Brock Smith holds a commanding lead in the Oregon Republican Senate primary as the only sitting state senator in the field, with his legislative experience since 2023 and prior House service providing a clear edge over repeat candidate Jo Rae Perkins. Traders have priced in Smith’s March 2026 announcement and rural advocacy focus as key advantages ahead of the May 19 primary, where ballots were mailed in late April. Perkins, who secured the GOP nomination in 2020 and 2022 but lost both generals, maintains residual name recognition yet trails sharply on fundraising and institutional support. The remaining candidates, including Russell McAlmond and several lesser-known entrants, register minimal market share due to limited visibility and resources in this fragmented contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$95,921
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "David Brock Smith" di 77%, diikuti oleh "Jo Rae Perkins" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 77¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $95.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah "David Brock Smith" di 77%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jo Rae Perkins" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.