Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
27%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
39%
2.5-3"
24%
<0.5"
15%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
27%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
39%
2.5-3"
24%
<0.5"
15%
0.5-1"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan