Substantial early June rainfall has positioned the 500 mm+ outcome as the market leader, with nearly 200 mm recorded through mid-month amid heavy episodes that already exceed typical first-half totals. Hong Kong's climatological average for the month stands near 450 mm, driven by the East Asian monsoon and frequent thunderstorms. While the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall overall, the rapid early accumulation leaves limited margin for drier conditions in the second half to stay below 500 mm. Forecasters continue to monitor tropical cyclone activity and model consensus for the remainder of the period, as additional organized systems could further elevate totals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 56%
425-450mm 9%
400-425mm 6%
450-475mm 6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
4%
350-375mm
12%
375-400mm
6%
400-425mm
6%
425-450mm
15%
450-475mm
6%
475-500mm
5%
500mm+
56%
500mm+ 56%
425-450mm 9%
400-425mm 6%
450-475mm 6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
$449 Vol.
4%
350-375mm
$505 Vol.
12%
375-400mm
$395 Vol.
6%
400-425mm
$277 Vol.
6%
425-450mm
$315 Vol.
15%
450-475mm
$373 Vol.
6%
475-500mm
$451 Vol.
5%
500mm+
$751 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Substantial early June rainfall has positioned the 500 mm+ outcome as the market leader, with nearly 200 mm recorded through mid-month amid heavy episodes that already exceed typical first-half totals. Hong Kong's climatological average for the month stands near 450 mm, driven by the East Asian monsoon and frequent thunderstorms. While the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall overall, the rapid early accumulation leaves limited margin for drier conditions in the second half to stay below 500 mm. Forecasters continue to monitor tropical cyclone activity and model consensus for the remainder of the period, as additional organized systems could further elevate totals.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$3,516Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Substantial early June rainfall has positioned the 500 mm+ outcome as the market leader, with nearly 200 mm recorded through mid-month amid heavy episodes that already exceed typical first-half totals. Hong Kong's climatological average for the month stands near 450 mm, driven by the East Asian monsoon and frequent thunderstorms. While the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall overall, the rapid early accumulation leaves limited margin for drier conditions in the second half to stay below 500 mm. Forecasters continue to monitor tropical cyclone activity and model consensus for the remainder of the period, as additional organized systems could further elevate totals.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,516Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Substantial early June rainfall has positioned the 500 mm+ outcome as the market leader, with nearly 200 mm recorded through mid-month amid heavy episodes that already exceed typical first-half totals. Hong Kong's climatological average for the month stands near 450 mm, driven by the East Asian monsoon and frequent thunderstorms. While the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall overall, the rapid early accumulation leaves limited margin for drier conditions in the second half to stay below 500 mm. Forecasters continue to monitor tropical cyclone activity and model consensus for the remainder of the period, as additional organized systems could further elevate totals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan