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icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Elon Musk 90%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang 1.2%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.2%

Polymarket

$1,793,125 Vol.

Elon Musk 90%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang 1.2%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.2%

Polymarket

$1,793,125 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$135,505 Vol.

90%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$85,445 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$171,602 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$123,058 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$306,866 Vol.

1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$77,111 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$364,383 Vol.

1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$140,185 Vol.

1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$53,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$335,401 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus assigns Elon Musk an 89.5% implied probability of finishing 2026 as the world's richest person, driven by his record net worth above $780 billion and sustained momentum across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Recent valuation surges, including SpaceX nearing $800 billion and Tesla's robotics progress, have widened his lead to more than double the next-closest figures held by Larry Page and Sergey Brin. This gap stems from tech-sector tailwinds and Musk's diversified empire, making a catch-up by year-end unlikely without sharp reversals in autonomous driving or aerospace funding. Upcoming quarterly results and any IPO signals could further lock in the frontrunner status through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,793,125
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus assigns Elon Musk an 89.5% implied probability of finishing 2026 as the world's richest person, driven by his record net worth above $780 billion and sustained momentum across Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Recent valuation surges, including SpaceX nearing $800 billion and Tesla's robotics progress, have widened his lead to more than double the next-closest figures held by Larry Page and Sergey Brin. This gap stems from tech-sector tailwinds and Musk's diversified empire, making a catch-up by year-end unlikely without sharp reversals in autonomous driving or aerospace funding. Upcoming quarterly results and any IPO signals could further lock in the frontrunner status through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,793,125
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elon Musk" di 90%, diikuti oleh "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 90¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" telah menghasilkan $1.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah "Elon Musk" di 90%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.