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Richest person on December 31, 2026?

icon for Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,830,212 Vol.

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,830,212 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$150,114 Vol.

95%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$87,735 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$176,240 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$364,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$336,352 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$307,909 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$142,193 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$56,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$80,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$127,811 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,830,212
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,830,212
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Richest person on December 31, 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elon Musk" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" telah menghasilkan $1.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Richest person on December 31, 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" adalah "Elon Musk" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.