Recent polls place the SPD at 7–9% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, aligning with the market’s leading 7–9% outcome. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey for ZDF (August 25–27) showed 9%, while Infratest dimap for ARD (August 24–25) recorded 8%, following earlier readings of 7% or lower. These figures reflect modest gains amid an AfD surge to 40–42% and CDU support near 22–23%, with the Linke at 11–13% and Greens at 5–6%. Up to 31% of respondents remain undecided, and campaigns emphasize the 5% threshold as smaller parties vie to fragment the parliament and block an AfD majority. The distribution of probabilities across 5–7%, 7–9%, and 9%+ bands captures this polling range and residual volatility in the final week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7-9% 54%
5-7% 26%
9%+ 14.2%
<5% 5%
$26,089 Vol.
$26,089 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
5%
5-7%
26%
7-9%
54%
9%+
14%
7-9% 54%
5-7% 26%
9%+ 14.2%
<5% 5%
$26,089 Vol.
$26,089 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
$5,040 Vol.
5%
5-7%
$6,995 Vol.
26%
7-9%
$8,976 Vol.
54%
9%+
$5,078 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls place the SPD at 7–9% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, aligning with the market’s leading 7–9% outcome. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey for ZDF (August 25–27) showed 9%, while Infratest dimap for ARD (August 24–25) recorded 8%, following earlier readings of 7% or lower. These figures reflect modest gains amid an AfD surge to 40–42% and CDU support near 22–23%, with the Linke at 11–13% and Greens at 5–6%. Up to 31% of respondents remain undecided, and campaigns emphasize the 5% threshold as smaller parties vie to fragment the parliament and block an AfD majority. The distribution of probabilities across 5–7%, 7–9%, and 9%+ bands captures this polling range and residual volatility in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$26,089Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls place the SPD at 7–9% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, aligning with the market’s leading 7–9% outcome. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey for ZDF (August 25–27) showed 9%, while Infratest dimap for ARD (August 24–25) recorded 8%, following earlier readings of 7% or lower. These figures reflect modest gains amid an AfD surge to 40–42% and CDU support near 22–23%, with the Linke at 11–13% and Greens at 5–6%. Up to 31% of respondents remain undecided, and campaigns emphasize the 5% threshold as smaller parties vie to fragment the parliament and block an AfD majority. The distribution of probabilities across 5–7%, 7–9%, and 9%+ bands captures this polling range and residual volatility in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$26,089Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the SPD at 7–9% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, aligning with the market’s leading 7–9% outcome. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen survey for ZDF (August 25–27) showed 9%, while Infratest dimap for ARD (August 24–25) recorded 8%, following earlier readings of 7% or lower. These figures reflect modest gains amid an AfD surge to 40–42% and CDU support near 22–23%, with the Linke at 11–13% and Greens at 5–6%. Up to 31% of respondents remain undecided, and campaigns emphasize the 5% threshold as smaller parties vie to fragment the parliament and block an AfD majority. The distribution of probabilities across 5–7%, 7–9%, and 9%+ bands captures this polling range and residual volatility in the final week.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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