Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke leading or tied near 20 percent, with CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points around 16–19 percent and SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as small shifts in turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or differential mobilization can reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus prices AfD, Grüne, and CDU as the likeliest contenders because recent surveys have cycled leadership among them, while leadership adjustments in the CDU and national trends boosting AfD sustain uncertainty. Scheduled campaign events and final-week turnout data in the coming weeks could widen or close the gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 9%
$22,858 Vol.
$22,858 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
35%
Grüne
29%
CDU
27%
Linke
9%
SPD
8%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 9%
$22,858 Vol.
$22,858 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
35%
Grüne
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,704 Vol.
27%
Linke
$4,625 Vol.
9%
SPD
$1,355 Vol.
8%
FDP
$725 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke leading or tied near 20 percent, with CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points around 16–19 percent and SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as small shifts in turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or differential mobilization can reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus prices AfD, Grüne, and CDU as the likeliest contenders because recent surveys have cycled leadership among them, while leadership adjustments in the CDU and national trends boosting AfD sustain uncertainty. Scheduled campaign events and final-week turnout data in the coming weeks could widen or close the gaps.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,858Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke leading or tied near 20 percent, with CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points around 16–19 percent and SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as small shifts in turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or differential mobilization can reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus prices AfD, Grüne, and CDU as the likeliest contenders because recent surveys have cycled leadership among them, while leadership adjustments in the CDU and national trends boosting AfD sustain uncertainty. Scheduled campaign events and final-week turnout data in the coming weeks could widen or close the gaps.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$22,858Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke leading or tied near 20 percent, with CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points around 16–19 percent and SPD further back. This narrow spread among four parties keeps third-place positioning fluid, as small shifts in turnout among urban districts, preference flows between left-leaning voters, or differential mobilization can reorder the middle of the field. Trader consensus prices AfD, Grüne, and CDU as the likeliest contenders because recent surveys have cycled leadership among them, while leadership adjustments in the CDU and national trends boosting AfD sustain uncertainty. Scheduled campaign events and final-week turnout data in the coming weeks could widen or close the gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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