Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78% implied probability after placing first in the September 13, 2026, initial round with 33.2% of the vote. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, finished second at 30.5% and holds 16.5% odds for the September 27 runoff. The nine-candidate field produced no outright majority, advancing only the top two and sidelining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents at under 1%. Prange’s narrow edge, established SPD organization, and local council experience have shaped trader consensus for the head-to-head contest, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition support remains a key variable in the final ten days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUlf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 14%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
78%
Jascha Rohr
17%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 14%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$8,761 Vol.
78%
Jascha Rohr
$6,434 Vol.
17%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78% implied probability after placing first in the September 13, 2026, initial round with 33.2% of the vote. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, finished second at 30.5% and holds 16.5% odds for the September 27 runoff. The nine-candidate field produced no outright majority, advancing only the top two and sidelining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents at under 1%. Prange’s narrow edge, established SPD organization, and local council experience have shaped trader consensus for the head-to-head contest, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition support remains a key variable in the final ten days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$21,712Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78% implied probability after placing first in the September 13, 2026, initial round with 33.2% of the vote. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, finished second at 30.5% and holds 16.5% odds for the September 27 runoff. The nine-candidate field produced no outright majority, advancing only the top two and sidelining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents at under 1%. Prange’s narrow edge, established SPD organization, and local council experience have shaped trader consensus for the head-to-head contest, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition support remains a key variable in the final ten days.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$21,712Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78% implied probability after placing first in the September 13, 2026, initial round with 33.2% of the vote. Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan candidate, finished second at 30.5% and holds 16.5% odds for the September 27 runoff. The nine-candidate field produced no outright majority, advancing only the top two and sidelining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents at under 1%. Prange’s narrow edge, established SPD organization, and local council experience have shaped trader consensus for the head-to-head contest, while Rohr’s cross-party coalition support remains a key variable in the final ten days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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