Ulf Prange (SPD) leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 63.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.16% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.54%. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate backed by Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, advanced to the September 27 runoff alongside Prange, as no candidate reached an absolute majority among the nine contenders. Prange’s edge in the initial round, combined with his established local council experience and SPD organizational strength, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the decisive second ballot. Other listed candidates, including Heike Boldt (Die Linke) and several independents, received single-digit shares and hold negligible implied probabilities. The brief interval between rounds limits further major shifts, though turnout patterns and last-minute coalition signals could still influence the final outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUlf Prange 43%
Jascha Rohr 30%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,377 Vol.
$22,377 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
64%
Jascha Rohr
21%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 43%
Jascha Rohr 30%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$22,377 Vol.
$22,377 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$9,351 Vol.
64%
Jascha Rohr
$6,509 Vol.
21%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange (SPD) leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 63.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.16% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.54%. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate backed by Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, advanced to the September 27 runoff alongside Prange, as no candidate reached an absolute majority among the nine contenders. Prange’s edge in the initial round, combined with his established local council experience and SPD organizational strength, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the decisive second ballot. Other listed candidates, including Heike Boldt (Die Linke) and several independents, received single-digit shares and hold negligible implied probabilities. The brief interval between rounds limits further major shifts, though turnout patterns and last-minute coalition signals could still influence the final outcome.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$22,377Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange (SPD) leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 63.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.16% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.54%. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate backed by Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, advanced to the September 27 runoff alongside Prange, as no candidate reached an absolute majority among the nine contenders. Prange’s edge in the initial round, combined with his established local council experience and SPD organizational strength, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the decisive second ballot. Other listed candidates, including Heike Boldt (Die Linke) and several independents, received single-digit shares and hold negligible implied probabilities. The brief interval between rounds limits further major shifts, though turnout patterns and last-minute coalition signals could still influence the final outcome.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$22,377Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange (SPD) leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 63.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.16% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.54%. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate backed by Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU, advanced to the September 27 runoff alongside Prange, as no candidate reached an absolute majority among the nine contenders. Prange’s edge in the initial round, combined with his established local council experience and SPD organizational strength, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the decisive second ballot. Other listed candidates, including Heike Boldt (Die Linke) and several independents, received single-digit shares and hold negligible implied probabilities. The brief interval between rounds limits further major shifts, though turnout patterns and last-minute coalition signals could still influence the final outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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