Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 70%
Alex Pelbath 13%
Sam McCown 9.5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
Mark Smith
70%
Alex Pelbath
17%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 70%
Alex Pelbath 13%
Sam McCown 9.5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
Mark Smith
70%
Alex Pelbath
17%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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