The May 5 Tony nominations announcement positioned Schmigadoon! as the frontrunner for Best Book of a Musical, with its adaptation from the Apple TV series earning 12 total nods and strong critical praise for Cinco Paul’s inventive, genre-blending script. The Lost Boys follows closely behind at 23.5 percent after matching the nomination haul with its own high-energy take on the 1987 vampire film, backed by David Hornsby and Chris Hoch’s work and spectacle-driven momentum that often sways Tony voters. Titaníque sits at 14.7 percent on the strength of its clever Celine Dion-infused spoof, while Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) trails at 5.3 percent despite eight nominations overall. With the June 7 ceremony approaching, recent guild and critics’ circle signals will likely shape any late shifts in trader sentiment.