Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
45%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 6.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,680 Vol.
$169,680 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$65,200 Vol.
45%
May 23–29
$8,345 Vol.
34%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 Vol.
6%
June 6–12
$9,059 Vol.
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$16,497 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$169,680Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,680Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the market’s strong concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor cleared the path for an orderly transition, while Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors through at least part of his separate term ending in 2028. Ongoing political pressure from the White House on monetary policy independence has reinforced expectations that the chairmanship change would occur precisely at the statutory deadline rather than through earlier resignation or delay. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the immediate post-May 15 windows, reflecting both the fixed expiration date and the absence of any last-minute procedural or legal obstacles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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