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Teknologi·Bisnis

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
Teknologi·Bisnis

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Jun 30

Jun 30

$125,186 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$125,186 Vol.

Polymarket
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CBOE

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3%

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Aristotle

$22,596 Vol.

2%

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ForecastEx

$11,439 Vol.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisory guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking have raised the bar for self-certification of sports event contracts by requiring pre-filing engagement with leagues, detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, and information-sharing agreements. CME Group completed its filings earlier, establishing precedent and driving its implied probability near certainty. Railbird and LedgerX maintain strong trader consensus above 78 percent amid streamlined multi-contract submission options, while Aristotle sits near even odds as platforms weigh compliance costs and CFTC stay risk. With only days until the June 30 resolution, any additional self-certifications or public statements from remaining DCMs could rapidly shift sentiment before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$125,186
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisory guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking have raised the bar for self-certification of sports event contracts by requiring pre-filing engagement with leagues, detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, and information-sharing agreements. CME Group completed its filings earlier, establishing precedent and driving its implied probability near certainty. Railbird and LedgerX maintain strong trader consensus above 78 percent amid streamlined multi-contract submission options, while Aristotle sits near even odds as platforms weigh compliance costs and CFTC stay risk. With only days until the June 30 resolution, any additional self-certifications or public statements from remaining DCMs could rapidly shift sentiment before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$125,186
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Railbird" di 100%, diikuti oleh "CME" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $125.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" adalah "Railbird" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "CME" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.