Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, stands as the main catalyst behind the 87.5% market-implied odds favoring it to IPO before OpenAI. This step advanced the Claude developer ahead in the regulatory process, with potential listing windows cited as early as fall 2026 contingent on market conditions. OpenAI, despite earlier groundwork for a late-2026 debut, has more recently signaled a shift toward 2027 amid internal deliberations and a preference for remaining private longer. Both artificial intelligence companies operate large language models in a competitive landscape, where timing affects capital access, valuation scrutiny, and positioning relative to rivals; trader consensus reflects Anthropic's clearer near-term path while acknowledging that product launches, funding rounds, or regulatory reviews could still alter timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic
88% peluang
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
88% peluang
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, stands as the main catalyst behind the 87.5% market-implied odds favoring it to IPO before OpenAI. This step advanced the Claude developer ahead in the regulatory process, with potential listing windows cited as early as fall 2026 contingent on market conditions. OpenAI, despite earlier groundwork for a late-2026 debut, has more recently signaled a shift toward 2027 amid internal deliberations and a preference for remaining private longer. Both artificial intelligence companies operate large language models in a competitive landscape, where timing affects capital access, valuation scrutiny, and positioning relative to rivals; trader consensus reflects Anthropic's clearer near-term path while acknowledging that product launches, funding rounds, or regulatory reviews could still alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$290,090Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, stands as the main catalyst behind the 87.5% market-implied odds favoring it to IPO before OpenAI. This step advanced the Claude developer ahead in the regulatory process, with potential listing windows cited as early as fall 2026 contingent on market conditions. OpenAI, despite earlier groundwork for a late-2026 debut, has more recently signaled a shift toward 2027 amid internal deliberations and a preference for remaining private longer. Both artificial intelligence companies operate large language models in a competitive landscape, where timing affects capital access, valuation scrutiny, and positioning relative to rivals; trader consensus reflects Anthropic's clearer near-term path while acknowledging that product launches, funding rounds, or regulatory reviews could still alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$290,090Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, stands as the main catalyst behind the 87.5% market-implied odds favoring it to IPO before OpenAI. This step advanced the Claude developer ahead in the regulatory process, with potential listing windows cited as early as fall 2026 contingent on market conditions. OpenAI, despite earlier groundwork for a late-2026 debut, has more recently signaled a shift toward 2027 amid internal deliberations and a preference for remaining private longer. Both artificial intelligence companies operate large language models in a competitive landscape, where timing affects capital access, valuation scrutiny, and positioning relative to rivals; trader consensus reflects Anthropic's clearer near-term path while acknowledging that product launches, funding rounds, or regulatory reviews could still alter timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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